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Comments are are not necessarily those of station owners, managers or, staff. Listen for Tom Freel on KAST 1370 and on line at kast1370.com



October 28, 2009

Recall Outcomes

As we predicted months ago, Commission Chair Jeff Hazen handily retains his seat on the county commission .
Unfortunately, as we also predicted, the Commission Samuelson recall is too close to call with just four votes in favor of recalling the district 5 commissioner. The close numbers trigger an automatic recount with results due within ten days.

If Samuelson is recalled the commission must appoint her replacement within 45 days from the
confirmation of the election results.

Recall supporters are reluctant to say that this was a vote on LNG but I would have to say that because of the way the ballot questions were worded this is a huge victory for Bradwood Landing specifically. District 1 covers Warrenton and a slice of Astoria. District 5 covers a broad swath
from Jewell clear out to Arch Cape. To see such a positive response to the decisions made by the commission regarding Bradwood is a strong indicator of support when you consider that the voter turnout exceeded the predictions of the county election department for a special election. The turnout was higher than the previous special election regarding allowing pipelines in areas zoned for open parks and recreation which anti-LNG forces attempted to use in this recall election. It is quite clear that this strategy backfired with voters expressing some level of disgust with that tactic. That is particularly true in District 1.

It's interesting to note that just days before the election people got their property tax bills in the mail. Even with property values dropping everyone saw an increase in their taxes based on assessed value. The county instituted a policy of increasing the percentage to the legal limit of 3% every tax year regardless of actual need. Since assessed value is generally lower than real market value and certainly lower than what a homeowner might receive in the sale of a home or property then the taxes assessed annually will increase every year. At a time when local people are struggling just to hang on to their homes this policy on the part of the county likely created a backlash that impacted this recall. This would be particularly true in Samuelson's district which contains some of the most expensive property in Clatsop County.

The other factor affecting the Samuelson recall campaign would include the revelation that the commissioner contacted the Sheriff when she discovered that one of his staff had signed the recall petition. Regardless of the intent this was a miss-step in an otherwise well conceived and hard fought campaign and worked against her public image with those who would perceive this as an inappropriate use of her position quite similar to the charges leveled against former Commissioner Richard Lee in his recall from office.

27 comments:

  1. Steve7:48 AM

    Good morning Tom. Interesting news on arising this morning.

    I think it is difficult to state that this is a vote of support for LNG regardless of wording on the ballot. I think there is a percentage of people who voted not to recall the two commissioners because they felt the recall, even though legal, was not appropriate.

    Likewise, on the pipeline issue there was a percentage of people who actually voted on the issue, not as a referendum against LNG.

    However, since it was obvious that the people driving the recall did so based on the LNG, it probably is a blow them on that particular issue. Even if the recount removes Ann from her seat, the vote is not sufficient for them to claim a mandate. I remember when President Bush won the presidency, but, lost the popular vote, yet he governed as if he has a solid mandate.

    I believe that two things effected Ann's vote: 1. She erred in talking to anyone about names on the petition. 2. The Daily Astorian's biased reporting was obviously aimed at ousting both commissioners.

    We do live in a republic with elected officials voted in to do our work at the designated levels of their offices. We have elections periodically to vote in new people, or, keep the same ones in office. Again the recall, although legal, was not the right way to do this. Tax payers pay the bill for this egregious ideological misuse of the recall system plus the recount for Ann's seat.

    I must say, all of the negativity and misinformation during this local issue has made me grateful that I'm a planning commissioner who is appointed. I can serve my community without fear of extremist and biased media. It also makes me balk at giving further thought to running for an elected position. The politics of today, at all levels, lacks civility and respect to due process. National politics are disgusting.

    Anyway, have a good morning and I look forward to listening to what I can of your show on the way to work. I wish your stations were available through Iphone. So far I cannot find it. I have flycast and Pandora radio.

    Again, good morning Tom and I hope you have plenty of coffee ready for this morning’s show.

    Steve

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  2. Steve- download the app "Wonder Radio" for Iphone and you can listen to any of my radio stations. I have this on my IPhone and it works great!

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  3. opps..that's WunderRadio...it's from the people at weather underground..works on blackberry too

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  4. And again Steve, even though you are an Appointed Public Official, a Warrenton Planning Commissioner, as you keep remeinding us, you serve in that same "Public Trust" and your expressed biases can reflect your ability to fairly and impartially, in the "Public Interest", deliberate and judge fairly on issue before you and your commission, not that I am authority on this kind of stuff.

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  5. Mike Autio10:04 AM

    Hardly a mandate, even if Ann goes down. Out of 8,396 eligible voters in the two districts, only 1,991 folks supported the recall, about 23%. Enough baloney about the "will of the people." This is all about the will of an EXTREMELY VOCAL MINORITY who wants their way at all costs.

    BTW, Wunder Radio works great, especially for folks out in the hinterlands like me (Brownsmead) where the radio signal often doesn't come through.

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  6. Mike Autio10:06 AM

    PS, like Richard Lee's case, this recall was influenced greatly by other baggage and enemies these two commissioners have in their past (see Richard Lee and dog farm, etc, Ann and Jewell)

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  7. Mike Autio said...
    PS, like Richard Lee's case, this recall was influenced greatly by other baggage and enemies these two commissioners have in their past (see Richard Lee and dog farm, etc, Ann and Jewell)


    And both products of their own making Mike.

    Now, in Lee's case 2 to 1 his Neighbors/Constituents ousted him clearly for mis-use of his position primarily but, in Ms. Samuelson's case it's a 50/50 split in support and you are claiming it was Jewell while she and her cronies are claiming it was LNG and a vast conspiracy of brainwashed voters.

    Yeah, OK, sure.

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  8. Anonymous12:27 PM

    This election was influenced greatly by the misinformation put out by the daily a, many of us in south county get that half of what is in it isn't true.

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  9. Anonymous4:14 PM

    Patrick

    You are proved wrong again! You said last week that come this morning the results will remove both commissioneerr.

    Now you are trying to say it wasn't LNG and the Daily A did not lie. Come now Patrick you and forester both need to apoligise.

    And wasn't it great for us to have a 73% victory by the people that did not vote for a re-call

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  10. "Anonymous said...
    This election was influenced greatly by the misinformation put out by the daily a, many of us in south county get that half of what is in it isn't true."


    What!

    They put out a different Daily Astorian in South County than the one in North County?

    Hmmmmm!

    What misinformation was that?

    Is South County really that detached from the rest of the world?

    Whatever happened to that "Community Building" and "Bridging the North/South Divide" we hear so much about?

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  11. Anonymous6:43 PM

    Lee claimed it was the paper that caused his recall and now Ann will take the same route. Too bad they are unwilling to take responsibility for their own behavior. They both play the victim roles, Lee said it was a political conspiracy and Ann claims its the out of town activists. Please Ann....those who reside in your district actually have brains and we can make our own decisions. We don't count on the Daily A to do that for us.

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  12. I tell you what Pat. I'll stop mentioning that I'm on the planning commission if you stop trying to instruct me on how I should conduct myself as a planning commissioner.

    Have a nice evening/day :)

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  13. Anonymous6:40 AM

    40% of the County Commission has now been recalled in just over a year.
    What will the remaining two members learn from this?
    The fact that by saying absolutely nothing Jeff Hazen only had 43% of the voters motivated to cast ballots wanted him gone does mean a resounding mandate to keep doing the same.
    There will be elections for 60% of the Commission in May.
    Did they learn anything?

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  14. Steve said...
    I tell you what Pat. I'll stop mentioning that I'm on the planning commission if you stop trying to instruct me on how I should conduct myself as a planning commissioner.

    Have a nice evening/day :)


    I think there are statutes out there, through the State of Oregon, that do govern you conduct as a Public Official and you do have to be very careful about how you do present yourself because that conduct can be used against your ability to make fair decisions on behalf of those you serve but hey!, that's just my view.

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  15. That Jeff Hazen easily won, and Ann Samuelson barely lost seems to me, even in this very local and targeted election, to be an indicator of a nationwide, growing pro-conservative movement, a movement recognizing the absurdity of listening to the anti-everything crowd. I suggest that Jeff understood this more than Ann, for in Ann's case, it was who DIDN'T come out to vote which caused her loss. I base this opinion on the fact that she based her campaign more on promoting her liberal programs support. In other words, she tried to appeal to the liberals in her district more than the conservatives, thereby reducing the motivation of conservative voters to participate. The liberal voters, especially the active ones, were already going to vote, and all were being led down the garden path to vote against her because of the LNG issue. Plus, given that she is a Democrat, the liberals felt betrayed, and lIke the small-brained Steve Forrester, were itching for retribution for someone who wandered off their anti-business, big-government reservation.

    Art Hyland
    Astoria

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  16. Anonymous9:36 AM

    "This game started with the unilateral reduction of the district attorney's salary" -Steve Forester from How Stupid do They Think We Are? 10/01/09

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  17. For lack of better words Art, that's bullshit!

    Quite frankly, many are saying our Republcan prty is not going to stand a chance in its future until it takes a dramatic shift right to the middle.

    Many in the party are saying that Reaganism/Principled Conservatism's day has come and gone.

    Jeff won because he was smart enough to resist the onsluaght waged against him and let his constituents make their decision and it took a lot of guts to do that, in my view and he won comfortably even with his many detractors.

    You do know, don't you Art, that Clatsop County Commission is a Non-Partisan panel?

    We may get much better representation if we would simply leave the politics out if it and get on with working for the entire community as opposed to that kind of agenda.

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  18. Anonymous11:00 AM

    "40% of county commission recalled" have they learned anything?
    Yes, I would hope they have. Actually, 3/5ths of the commission has gone through the awful experience of recall. Additionally, counting commissioner Lee, 4 of 5 commissioners have or will have been through the recall experience recently. What they should have learned from this experience is to do nothing. Nothing but approve staff recommendations. That way the anti everything people will get their way and the rest of the people in the county will get what they deserve. This is a sad situation for the United States, since if the founding fathers did the same thing, we would still be a British colony. That is, a dirt poor colony plowing with horses, mostly uneducated, eating only what we grow and paying a great deal of tax to a far away country. But, that is the safe thing for politicians and it should satisify the anti everything gang, since that is what they have prayed so much for.

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  19. Markus Brown12:39 PM

    The lib's and radicals that are driving the county crazy
    remind me of a group of small children that haven't
    learned how to play nice with others. This game
    of politics we all play is something they simply
    do not understand. The terms of our county
    commisioners is short, but apparently for the radical lib's,
    not nearly short enough if you don't get everything
    your way. The radical libs just use the game
    rules to support thier agenda like little, spoiled
    children!

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  20. Anonymous12:46 PM

    I am glad to see that the Commissioners are doing their job and going to have a replacement in place Dec. 4 if the reount upholds the removal of Ann

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  21. Anonymous8:18 AM

    Clatsop County where elected officials are disposable.

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  22. Anonymous4:41 PM

    "I am glad to see that the Commissioners are doing their job and going to have a replacement in place Dec. 4 if the reount upholds the removal of Ann"
    Wanta bet that once the new commissioners are seated one or more of them will piss off the anti everything gang (or the District Attorney), which will force another recall? As Anon said, Clatsop County where elected officials are disposable. Aren't "we the people" so very smart?

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  23. "I would rather go out of politics feeling that I had done what was right than stay in with the approval of all men, knowing in my heart that I had acted as I ought no to"...Theodore Roosevelt-Speech to the New York Assembly 1884

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  24. Well, Patrick, I suggest you keep to quoting others rather than introducing us to your admitted, language inadequacies.
    Art Hyand

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  25. Anonymous9:34 AM

    I see Patricia Roberts is going to make her case to the Daily A. I wonder if they will read her miranda rights first, ya know...anything you say can and will be used against you...

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  26. ArtH said...
    Well, Patrick, I suggest you keep to quoting others rather than introducing us to your admitted, language inadequacies.
    Art Hyand

    9:05 AM


    Why, thank you Art, coming from you, I consider it a compliment.

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  27. Anonymous1:10 AM

    I really do have to laugh when P McG and others of his political bent give their free advice to Republicans (recently, "they won't stand a chance unless they make a shift to the middle").

    Yeah, you can always trust their helpful suggestions, since they really want Republicans to succeed!!

    Let's see, who all abandoned the conservative side to move to the middle (what a joke, thinking they could gain vote by moving to the middle. Dems will always vote for the Democratic candidate, or anything else their party is pushing. Witness all the faithful Catholics who actually vote for the anti life candidates that their party supports (let's see, how fast will your $$ be paying for "health care" to kill babies and under serve older people)?

    By the way, all you union members with decent health insurance....get ready for a downgrade, it is surely coming soon, and at great cost.

    And, getting back to all the helpful advice provided for FREE, to Republicans from Dems....
    Take a look at the re-election of Useless Ted K as our Governor (even the Dems admitted publically that he was a do-nothing).

    Crossing the asile and voting with the Democrats really did a lot of good for Gordon Smith....I would swear that he really worked hard at NOT getting re-elected!

    So, thanks, but no thanks P McG for your valuable advice....has it ever occurred to you that we really believe in certain things? We don't take a poll and then line our principles up to match!

    Thanks Richard, Anne, Jeff, John and Pat for doing your best for Clatsop County. I am sorry that so few appreciate your sacrifice of time and talents and I really feel bad about the kicking you have received for serving. If only Walmart had come a few years earlier to distract "THEM".

    Now, if the Daily A would just print the entire transcript of the supposed tape revealing Mr. Samuelson's bullying, threatening, and abusive treatment of the Jewell School "Journalism Teacher" and students. If none exists, will filing a false police report charges be filed soon?



    Tom, the "preview" feature will not work for editing tonight!

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